Tourney trends: High seeds have strong ATS record
The last two NCAA tournaments have been favorable to the chalk. The top four seeds in each region have gone 30-2 straight up and 22-9-1 against the spread in their opening round game.
Here's a few more numbers to chew before you place your bet at the window:
-Since the Tournament was expanded to 64 teams, No. 2 seeds have lost only four of a possible 96 games straight up against No. 15 seeds. In the last nine years No. 2 seeds have gone 15-22-1 ATS and just 6-9-1 in the last four specifically.
-No. 3 seeds have gone 81-15 SU against No. 14 seeds in the opening round. Over the last nine years No. 3 seeds have a 16-11-1 ATS record vs. No. 14 seeds.
-No. 4 seeds have gone 76-20 SU against No. 13 seeds in the first round of the NCAA Tournament.
. Over the last nine years, No. 4 seeds have gone 19-17 ATS in the opening-round game.
-The numbers say a No. 11 seed will beat a No. 6 seed almost 33 percent of the time. Since 1985 No. 6 seeds have gone 66-30 SU against No. 11 seeds.
Over the last nine years No. 6 seeds have covered in 20 of 31 games over No. 11 seeds.
-Betting on the No. 7 seed in the opening round has been profitable.
Over the last nine years No. 7 seeds have gone 23-12-1 ATS against the No. 10 seeds.
Overall No. 7 seeds have gone 62-36 SU against No. 10 seeds.
-No. 9 seeds have the advantage in the head-to-head matchups with No. 8 seeds.
Overall No. 9 seeds are 52-44 against No. 8 seeds SU and over the last nine years they have gone 20-16 ATS.
Monday, March 16, 2009
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